This restates the decisions you sent, shows the exact rule I will apply for each segment, and the resulting count against the complete election history. Universe: 176,526 registered voters (inactive included, per your #7). Nothing is built yet — confirm or correct the ★ items below first.
Your decisions, as I recorded them
Strong Democrat definition: D ballot in these 10 primaries: 3/4/2008, 5/4/2010, 3/6/2012, 5/6/2014, 3/15/2016, 5/8/2018, 3/17/2020, 5/3/2022, 3/19/2024, 5/5/2026.
Strong Republican definition: Same 10 primaries, R ballot (mirror of Strong Democrat).
#2 "Every … since 2008": STRICT — must have the qualifying ballot in every listed election, not just "every one they voted."
#3 2022 primary: Use the one primary: 5/3/2022. The 8/2/2022 special is ignored.
#5 Year boundaries: "After" excludes the named year; "Since" includes the named year.
#6 Precedence: Each voter → exactly one segment, in order: Swappers → partisan (Strong → Drop-Off → Recent) → Unaffiliated tiers. Young is a tag layered on top.
#7 Active vs inactive: INCLUDE inactive (CONFIRMATION) voters — universe is all registered voters.
#8 "Avoid" lists: Build Strong/Recent Republicans as suppression (do-not-contact) lists.
#9 Scoring model: Keep as the within-segment ranker (priority order), not the definition.
Segments — my rule and the resulting count
Segment
Goal
Rule I will apply
Count
Flag
Non-Registered
Register
Auditor parcel with no voter at the address (R6).
36,547
Strong Democrats
Donations
D ballot in ALL 10 listed primaries (strict).
365
★ strict all-10
Strong Republicans
Avoid (suppress)
R ballot in ALL 10 listed primaries (strict).
2,389
★ strict all-10
Recent Democrats
Donations
No R/D in 2008–2018 primaries; ≥1 D and no R in 2022/2024/2026.
3,773
Recent Republicans
Avoid (suppress)
Mirror of Recent Democrats with R.
11,197
Drop-Off Democrats
Re-energize
≥1 D in 2008–2018; no party ballot in 2020/2022/2024/2026.
9,102
Drop-Off Republicans
Bridge-build, seek votes
Mirror of Drop-Off Democrats with R.
14,547
Engaged Independents
Win support
Voted all 9 even-year generals 2008–2024 + ≥1 issue-only (X) primary since 2018 + no partisan primary.
442
★ general set
Engaged Unaffiliated
Win support
Voted all 9 even-year generals + no primary history at all.
288
★ general set
Recent Unaffiliated
Win support
First general in 2020 or later (none before) + no primary history.
25,484
Drop-Off Unaffiliated
Re-engage
≥1 general 2008–2016, none in 2020/2022/2024 + no primary history.
3,252
Swappers
Persuade
D in 5/3/2022 AND R in 3/19/2024 AND D in 5/5/2026.
232
Young Democrats (tag, not a separate list): among the Democratic segments, 3,210 are under 39, of whom 752 are under 26 (the high-effort priority).
Please confirm or correct these
Strong D/R are small by design. The strict "all ten primaries" reading gives 365 Strong Democrats and 2,389 Strong Republicans — because almost no one votes in every primary across 18 years (2014 & 2018 especially thin). Confirm you want all ten required; if you'd rather it be "every primary they voted was that party," the lists grow a lot.
General-election set. For "every general since 2008" I used the nine even-year November generals (2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024). Confirm — or restrict to presidential years only, which would enlarge the Engaged tiers.
The 2020 boundary gap. With "after" excluding 2020 and "prior to 2020" excluding 2020, the 2020 primary is unconstrained in the Recent rules. I left it free. Tell me if 2020 should count as "prior."
"Other / unclassified" = 105,455 (~60% of registered voters). These aren't lost — they're real voters whose pattern doesn't match any single strict rule (sporadic or mixed voters). Decide later whether they get a catch-all or looser rules.
Your corrections
Built with Gemüt&Lou · Segmentation_Direction_Confirmation.html · counts are provisional pending the ★ confirmations